Sharpen how you think, one mental model at a time.
Automation bias is the tendency to over-trust a machine's output and under-check it. Here is the precise defin...
Intelligence does not protect a decision from being wrong — it makes the defence of it more convincing. The me...
The gap between feeling ready and being ready is widest on exams that take a year to prepare for. Four moves t...
A cognitive decision framework for handbag purchases — overcoming status bias, applying value-based criteria,...
Most bad solutions are answers to the wrong question. A structured problem-solving process — define the real p...
A decision framework for putting a bocce court in a Tracy backyard - separating reversible from irreversible c...
A clear-thinking guide to making a confident call on a costly backyard project — the decision traps (anchoring...
Considering the opposite, steelmanning, the assigned devil's advocate, and the premortem all claim to counter...
What first-principles thinking is, how it differs from reasoning by analogy, a step-by-step method with a work...
What second-order thinking is, how it differs from first-order thinking, a worked example, and how to develop...
What a base rate is, why your mind ignores the odds that matter, a worked example of base-rate neglect, and ho...
Follower counts feel success, but they're a classic vanity metric. Using a few mental models — vanity vs actio...